Steven Copertino

Public Analysis: Unusual Febuary Warmth, Unsettled Saturday

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Another very warm end to the work week is on tap with temperatures leveling off on Saturday as a cold front moves through the region and provides a chance for some much needed precipitation for the area.

After some overcast and lingering sprinkles this morning that moved over the Lower Hudson Valley and Long Island, the associated  overcast and showers have eased up enough to allow for temperatures to reach into the 50’s across much of the area this afternoon. With just middle to high level cloud cover persisting the rest of the afternoon, the Metro area should continue to see temperatures rise into the 50’s, with even some 60 degree readings possible in the southern half of New Jersey. As a very weak mid level disturbance dissipates while it quickly moves off to the east this evening, high pressure centered over the Atlantic will remain in control of our weather as we head into the evening and will help to provide a very light southerly flow. This southerly flow may introduce some moisture at the lower levels of the atmosphere very close to the surface that could produce areas of fog. The fog may reduce visibilities quite a bit in some locations, so use caution if driving. Otherwise, temperatures this evening will drop down into the 30’s for inland sections, and into the low to mid 40’s for the coastal areas which is just about average for this time of year.

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Miguel Pierre

2/22 AM All Zones: Warmer Temperatures…T-Storms With Heavy Rain Possible Saturday

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More unseasonable mild temperatures return again today with rising mid-level heights and southwest winds. Low clouds this morning, will break for some sunshine this afternoon with temperatures rising into the upper 50s to lower 60s over many parts of the region.

It will remain mild into tonight. Low temperatures with a southwest flow will only be lower to middle 40s near the coast and upper 30s inland. Some low clouds and patchy fog could also develop later tonight into early tomorrow morning.

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Miguel Pierre

2/21 AM All Zones: Record Warmth Possible Thursday, Stormy Saturday?

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Temperatures today will again be several degrees above normal for this of year. But some mid-high level clouds increasing out ahead of warm front approaching will likely keep highs a little lower then yesterday, in upper 40s to lower 50s.

Mostly cloudy skies are expected tonight, as the warm front and shortwave trough move through. Lift and moisture become more limited as they run into the upper-level ridging. But a few scattered light rain showers are still possible, especially northwest of NYC. Temperatures will likely only drop into the upper 30s to lower 40s tonight.

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John Homenuk

2.20 PM All Zones: Warm, tranquil weather will continue

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A warmer, tranquil weather pattern has settled into the Northeast US over the past several days, and despite a cooling trend over the past few days, the pattern is expected to generally continue. A cold front moved through the area last night, bringing cold air advection (movement of colder air), and the cooler air aloft quickly brought warm temperatures down towards average. Highs today were 10-15 degrees colder than yesterday in many areas.

The relatively normal temperatures will warm gradually over the next few days, while generally tranquil weather will also persist. Why the change? The answers lie in the Pacific Ocean. A changed pattern there has allowed disturbances, which were previously moving quickly eastwards towards our area, to remain much farther west and approach the U.S.A more slowly.

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