Posts

John Homenuk

NYC Area Forecast: Updates on snow threats

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Briefing: Bands of snow may impact isolated parts of Eastern NJ on Wednesday, and a larger coastal storm passes to our south later this weekend. Impacts are currently expected to be negligible in NYC for both – but uncertainty on the weekend storm system remains high.

Dry, calm and cold weather has settled in to the Northeast states today, and is expected to generally remain in place through the middle of the week. The forecast remains extremely interesting and highly convoluted, however, as multiple disturbances will pass by the Northeast states.

The larger focus will be on the system this weekend, and rightfully so, but a prior system – which passes off the NJ Coast on Wednesday – may have some tricks up its sleeve.

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John Homenuk

Confidence rising in a cold, snowier pattern through early December

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For the better part of the last two weeks, forecasters in the Eastern United States have slept with one eye open, watching the upcoming weather pattern from late November through early December with a cautious, bated breath. Now, as Thanksgiving approaches, confidence is rising steadily in the ideas we have all been discussing: A colder than normal, and potentially snowier than normal, weather pattern is likely to unfold across the Eastern United States in the next four weeks.

Let’s back up for a moment: Happy Thanksgiving. Thanks for reading our article. Actually, thanks for reading our website at all. This has been one of the most successful years in our websites history, and we owe all of that to each of you who take the time to read what we write every day, or subscribe to our forecasts, or use our forecasts for your business. Thank you. Now lets get into the nitty gritty.

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John Homenuk

NYC Area Forecast: Another winter storm possible this week

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Monday’s Weather Rating: | 5/10 (Fair)

Good morning on this cool and wintry Monday. After a calm and benign weather weekend in the Northeast states, our full attention has turned to the potential for a winter weather event during the middle of the week ahead. This potential event has been spoken about for quite some time now, and the evolution has changed on forecast model guidance quite a bit over the last 48-60 hours. With all of that said, the potential for a storm of significance still exists.

The week is expected to start off quietly on both Monday and most of Tuesday. Transient clouds and very cold temperatures are expected. There’s no shorting this airmass – it’s extremely cold for this time of year, with temperatures several degrees below average for several days in a row. Temperature departures will exceed -10 F in many locations during this time frame. As our cold continues, a disturbance is organizing in the Central Plains and beginning its move eastward, setting the stage for a complex and convoluted storm evolution during the middle part of the week.

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John Homenuk

NYC Area Forecast: Nicer weekend, winter storm possible next week

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Friday’s Weather Rating | 5/10 (Fair)

Friday began with a bit of a different tune than the past few days – although it’s cold this morning, it is not quite as blustery and the risk of snow squalls has been reduced. In other words, the air feels a bit less “wintry”, as the airmass itself begins to modify a bit to its surroundings. It’s still quite cold though and honestly, several degrees below average for this time of year, and you can feel it throughout the majority of the Northeast states today.

The weather over this weekend will remain much colder than average for this time of year. Temperatures are forecast by the European model to run several degrees below normal on both Saturday and Sunday throughout the Northeast states, as arctic high pressure redevelops and aids in funneling cold air southward from Canada. This secondary surge of cold air is being driven by the redevelopment of a Greenland Block, which by this point has become a thorn in the side of many, as it has been the impetus for this late season winter weather surge. Low temperatures tonight throughout a large part of the area will fall down into the mid to upper 20’s and may even reach the teens in some suburbs.

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