John Homenuk

Hype gaining speed with late week winter weather event

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We’ll be the first to tell you: You’re probably going to see and hear a lot about a potential winter storm over the coming days. In addition to that, you probably shouldn’t take everything you hear all that seriously.

Here’s the long and short of it: Forecast models, over the past two days, have come into agreement on the idea that a significant winter weather event will evolve in the Eastern United States sometime late this upcoming week into the upcoming weekend. A strong low pressure system is forecast to develop from the South-Central United States, through the Mississippi River Valley, and eventually re-develop off the East Coast.

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John Homenuk

Light accumulating snow possible today and tonight

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It appears this weekends coastal storm has a few more tricks up its sleeve. After forecast models indicated the storm had a chance of significantly impacting the area, the trend was decidedly seaward over the past few days. The past 24 hours, however, have seen a steady trend northwestward with the precipitation shield, enough to offer up impacts for our area later today and tonight.

While the center of low pressure will pass hundreds of miles to our south and east, light precipitation associated with the storm system – and the overhead trough – will spread northeastward from the Mid Atlantic into our area today. Thermal profiles will support snow, albeit light, after the atmosphere moistens up enough so that precipitation can reach the ground. Initially, radar may show precipitation, but dry air will win the battle and prevent steady snow.

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Miguel Pierre

Despite two disturbances, winter weather unlikely this weekend

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In our previous article, we discussed some of the features in the upcoming hemispheric pattern that could support a winter weather event. These features were particularly evident during the period from January 16th to 20th. As we have gotten closer to this time period, forecast models have come into much better agreement on exactly how these features will evolve.

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Miguel Pierre

Winter returns this week, snow possible Tuesday

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It has been an active Sunday throughout the area, with heavy rain, winds, coastal flooding and thunderstorms. A cold front will push through the region this evening, ushering in much colder air both aloft and at the surface. Skies will turn mostly clear overnight, as high pressure builds into the area. Most notably, strong westerly winds will be the driving force in pushing the colder airmass into the area. Temperatures will quickly fall into the 20’s and 30’s by sunrise, with winds gusting as high as 40 miles per hour.

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